Friday
Dec022011
Great chart of Morocco's election results
Issandr El AmraniSee after the jump — we hope to produce something similar for Egypt's elections. The organization that put this together is CAPDEMA.
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Reader Comments (7)
Is there a good summary anywhere of the alignments of these parties? I'm ashamed to say that the only two I've heard of are PJD and Istiqlal.
USFP is the major center-left party; PT, MTDS are left-wing (also PSU which boycotted), PPS is ex-Stalinist now completely pro-regime; RNI, PAM, MP, UC are all pro-monarchy "notables" parties that have taken an anti-Islamist line. MP has a strong Middle Atlas Berber component.
So in other words, the PJD would have to include at least some of the pro-regime in order to form a government (they account for 59 percent of seats including Istiqlal). What's Istiqlal's attitude toward cooperation with Islamists? Is the likely outcome a fractured coalition of the PJD, some of the parties on the left, and some of the less anti-Islamist monarchists, creating a weak government which the king can continue to dominate?
Istiqlal is conservative and has no big ideological difference with Islamists but has gone from a once great party to a parking space for bright young technocrats that the palace wants in ministerial posts. USFP is in some ways a better match for the PJD in terms of being more anti-establishmentarian but has problem with elderly leadership not moving along. But in any case, the PJD is unlikely to really take on the palace for now, and neither are the leadership of the Istiqlal or USFP. They'll find a way to work together, and right now the new royal advisor in the cabinet must be brokering the deal.
Jonathan, the coalition will be official on saturday, but we already know that the Istiqlal wants to join the PJD. So they are ready for a cooperation with the moderate islamists. Everything will be clearer tomorrow
Issandr, thank you for the handy recap on the elections. I wonder if you'll manage to have the time to analyse the Moroccan elections a bit more in detail, as you seem to be - rightfully - focusing fully on Egypt right now. I know the country's politics a bit, and much more than the rest of the Maghreb, and would very much enjoy your thoughts. Some of the articles you have linked in the other day were good as well, but I would appreciate your views as well.
In general, I would also like to congratulate for running this blog. It's a great, reliable window on the region for those of us who are interested but alas do not read Arabic.
Here is one of Egypt's election's thus far broken down by islamists vs seculars (still rough and preliminary numbers) but gives a sense on a per governorate basis...
http://pic.twitter.com/AwV6TMtE