ElBaradei not to run for president

Mohamed ElBaradei has just declared that he will not run for the presidency. From Reuters:

CAIRO Jan 14 (Reuters) - Mohamed ElBaradei pulled out of the race for the Egyptian presidency on Saturday, saying "the previous regime" was still running the country which has been without a head of state since Hosni Mubarak was deposed last year.

"My conscience does not permit me to run for the presidency or any other official position unless it is within a democratic framework," the former head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog said in a statement.

There have been several reasons cited, besides the whole "democratic framework" business. Aside from the manner in which SCAF has run things, ElBaradei is also said to oppose SCAF's desire to rapidly draft a new constitution before the presidential elections are held — a step criticized for being against the agreed transition order. The question now is whether the opinions of anyone but SCAF and the Muslim Brothers matter.

ElBaradei has been a lackluster political presence for the last six months, with many of his erstwhile supporters believing his political career was over, largely because of his own lack of energy. Most believed he stood little chance in an election.

Nonetheless, ElBaradei's announcement may have an impact on mainstream views of the Egyptian revolution thus far. His charge that the Mubarak regime is still in place should fan the flames of those who want a second revolution on January 25, and counters the Muslim Brothers' narrative that one must go on with the transition through parliament until a handover of power to a new president. It also encourages the narrative of a dastardly MB-military alliance against a genuine democratic transformation of the country (further evidence of that would be MB assurances of immunity to the SCAF generals — not necessarily a bad compromise, but in this context quite damaging to the MB).

The big question may be what's next: if he's not running for the presidency, is ElBaradei willing to take the lead in the movement against the current transition, including further protests against the SCAF? That's not clear just yet, and somehow I doubt that a man who has shown aversion to street protests will take that route.

Update: Here is ElBaradei's statement, published by al-Tahrir newspaper today [Ar]. And here's an English translation.

Update 2: Here's ElBaradei's video statement.

Comments

[eatbees]

What a wimp!

Well, who needs him anyway.

[American]

My thoughts exactly, eatbees. This guy just can't be pleased. He was leading the charge against the first set of Constitutional amendments, claiming that a new constitution could be put together in 60 days, and now he's crying that the Constitution is being put together too fast? Guess the West's Golden Child has to move back to where he has spent the majority of his life...drinking wine with his masters in Western capitals.

I also completely disagree with the anti-military stance promoted by the Arabist and other bloggers. A transition to the "democracy" (which actually means pro-Western secular liberalism) that all these people want is not going to happen any time soon, and all they have to do is step out of their cafes in Zamalek to figure it out. Unless they are prepared for a true religious takeover, they should work with the military rather than stonewall. It's a tactic that's not working and is continuing to loose popular support. We'll see if they can bring it back on the 25th, but I highly doubt that it will be anything other than a street carnival.