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« Amendment Approved by Parliament | Main | Beyond Cosmetic Reform: Amending Article 76 »
2:31PM

US Renews Sanctions on Syria

Thursday, Bush extended US economic sanctions on Syria in line with his powers granted by December 2003 law's known as Syrian Accountability and Lebanese Sovereignty Act (SALSA). He did so because he claims Syria supports "terrorism" and is undermining the US's indirect occupation of Iraq by sabotaging stability while rebuilding the country.

US Sanctions, subject to yearly review every May, on Syria came into effect in May 2004 when Bush choose two of six-potential options. Last year, he opted for disallowing Syrian aircraft to use US Airspace. Since they do not anyways, it was seen as choosing one of the more toothless options.

The other option Bush renewed Thursday is the mandatory ban on US exports to Syria (with the exception of some medical and food supply for humanitarian purposes).

When I was in Damascus in February/March in the wake of the Hariri assassination, speculation was rife among Syrian analysts that Bush would renew existing sanctions and add the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) option. So the fact he did not add any new ones is telling. Damascus is displeased with the renewal of sanctions and denounced them as having a pro-Israeli leaning.

_________
Of the existing options at Bush's disposal, only one is really applicable (FDI).
The reasons the other options are not appealing are:

Restricting Syrian diplomats movement to a 25-mile radius of their work in the US would be countered with similar restrictions made on US diplomats by the Syrian government. Forget the Syrians, if they did this to US diplomats, there could be a revolt from the embassy in Damascus.

Freezing Syrian government assets is tricky legally to do and is essentially a bureaucratic nightmare.

Reducing diplomatic contact with Syria is well....Margaret Scobey, the Amb in Damascus, has been in Washington on "consultations" since the end of February. This one is actually just poorly worded.

_____________
What this means in the grand scheme of things, I am not sure. The sanction that is in place regarding American exports has not hurt the Syrians a great deal because of the smuggling from Lebanon. The only sector it has hit is petroleum. Now with the Syrian out of Lebanon (the UN was happy with the withdrawal), the question is will the smuggling continue just without the oversight of the military and mukhaberat.

Reader Comments (2)

The European Union is not participating in the sanctions so why would the Syrians need to rely on smuggling? And what about Turkey, which could easily serve as trans-shipper. Not to mention Jordan and Iraq.

As to Iraq, my feeling is that the scores of alleged insurgents killed near al-Qaim are really nothing more than smugglers, tribesmen and Bedouins--that the operation aims to "contain Syria" rather than with Iraq's security.

May 9, 2005 at 7:07 PM | Unregistered CommenterNur al-Cubicle

Nur,
You are right in that the EU and Syria's neighbors (save Israel) can easily help Syria out of its US sanction problem.

But theoretically - any goods that are manufacutured in the US are illegal to send to Syria. The example always used are French MRI machines. Even though they are made in France, the controling piece of the machine is US made so therefore it is illegal to have that end up in Syria. I know this is impractical but that is how it is.

You are right in that the Syrian government does not need to rely on smuggling through Lebanon alone. But that said pre-withdrawal the Syrian economy was 20% (officially) and 40% (estimated) based on Lebanon. Lebanon always was and likely will continue to be Syria's main support and conduit to the external world.

Hope that semi-answers the point you raised.

May 9, 2005 at 7:26 PM | Unregistered CommenterJosh Stacher

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